Охрана
Autor: Nastya Borovikova • December 13, 2016 • Research Paper • 286 Words (2 Pages) • 1,649 Views
Delphi approach
Task: to assess political risk factors for the project at Ukrainian market
Company: Boeing
Project idea:
Open subsidiary to start production of satellites with a new digital payload (offering twice the capacity of previous designs)
Project Period: 2017-2022
- What probability that Ukrainian government will increase corporate taxes (which affect after-tax earnings), as well as withholdingtaxes and implement additional fund transfer restrictions
1 – 100% probability
10 – zero probability
- What probability that Ukrainian government won’t allow the home currency to be exchanged into dollars for investors during next 5 years
1 – 100% probability
10 – zero probability
- To give the most reliable forecast of what chance of the war conflict in Ukraine during 2017-2022
1 – 100% probability
10 – zero probability
- To assess the impact of corruption in Ukraine for the opportunity to start the project
1 – high impact
10 –almost no impact
Please, put your answers to the following form^
ExpertName | Borovikova Nastya | ||
Questionnumber | Selfvalue | Value | Comments |
1 | 5 | 9 | I think, that the probability that Ukrainian government will increase corporate taxes is low, because for companies expensive to pay high taxes, therefore the foreign companies not want to open subsidiaries. |
2 | 5 | 7 | It is the high probability, that Ukrainian government wont allow the home currency to be exchanged into dollars, because the Ukrainian currency is not stable. But it will be profitable for Ukrain,because of the different value between grivna and dollar. |
3 | 5 | 4 | The forecast for Ukraine not good, because the war was started in 2013 and now it is 2016 and nothing to change, therefore I think that the probability is high. |
4 | 5 | 4 | Corruption it is the popular speculation in business. Everybody know that they can be solve their problems with the help of money, because it is the high impact of corruption for the opportunity to start new business. |
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