Criminal Profiling

In the present criminological context, the inductive method of approach is quite problematic compared to deductive profiling. Inductive profiling utilizes statistics applied over a number of different circumstances, instead of being implemented to the precise environmental context. According to Goodwin (2002) inductive profiling assume offender’s traits are consistent, implying all offenders are the same. Inductive profiling has known to be ambiguous to investigators; this has been the case with the “Green River Killer”.

The first topic that will be discussed is in regards to investigative issues with inductive profiling. Secondly, a case study will be presented and critically analysed titled “The Green River Killer”. Thirdly, the evidence in the case study and how it relates to “critically analysing inductive profiling” will be addressed. Finally, a conclusion will evaluate the findings with the topic.

Inductive Profiling Methods

According to Patherick and Turvey (2008) it is stated that a good inductive argument provides solid evidence to support an argument, however does not determine a deductive conclusion. “Inductive profiles rely on statistical and/or correlation reasoning (Patherick & Turvey, 2008c)”. This statement shows how the approach to inductive profiling is established.

The logic behind inductive profiling is modus ponendo ponens (). An example of modus ponens is as such; seventy five percent of known serial killers that attack college students on college grounds parking lots are white males, aged between thirty to forty years old who live with their mothers and drive a Toyota. The profile suggests that the perpetrator fits the profile of “serial killers” is a white male aged between thirty to forty years old, lives with his mother and drives a Toyota. The profile produces all statistical information (Turvey, 1998). So the logic of this style can be broken down to, Goodwin states that the offender may change his context between each crime. Thus offender could change from an organized crime to an unorganized crime.

An additional dilemma, in inductive profiling is that behaviour and motivations are presumed connected from past studies. (Gil-Patricia Fey, J. Ron Nelson, Maura L. Roberts, 2000)

Inductive profiling can be hazardous to an investigation as information included in a profile may be completely different to what the actual offender’s characteristics are really like. In such circumstances, an investigation can be thrown off course as the profile enables officers to search for a perpetrator who is different to the actual crime committed (source). Inductive profiles can neglect to take into relation the characteristics of detained offenders (Gil-Patricia Fey, J. Ron Nelson, Maura L. Roberts, 2000).

Case study- Gary